Currency Futures Trading: Night Market Technical Update 5/6/10
Posted by: Richard Estrada // Category: Currency Futures Trading
There is really no word that really describes the currency futures market today. Today’s currency action reminded of the 1997 Asian Currency Crisis in which the Japanese Yen Futures contract moved over 800 ticks in one day. The difference from today vs 1997 was we saw extreme moves in all the majors. Commodity traders day trading futures today were probably forced with a lot a tuff decisions and in my opinion, if your’e trading less than $20,000 the best play is to sit out and wait for things to calm down. Today’s currency action is also a clear indication why I believe technical support and technical resistance on longer-time frames can be so technically important. Let’s take a step back at look at the bigger picture by assessing the weekly charts.
The weekly chart of the British Pound Futures (6B) contract (see chart below) shows that the bears were able to break below the bottom of a bear flag technical formation (outlined in red), which might of instigated more technical selling for much larger players. You will also notice that the bears were able to pierce the next cycle low of 1.4778. The question now is how far are the bears willing to push and are the bulls looking to counter from a yet to be determined area of technical support?

The weekly chart of the Canadian Dollar Futures (6C) contract (see chart below) shows that the bears broke through the 13-week moving average (blue – .9759), which had been a pivotal area of technical support. Once the bears were able to break through this area they pushed the bulls all the way down to the 52-week moving average (green – .9363), which the bulls have been able to hold somewhat. The question for commodity traders is, is this down move a prelude to what’s to come, or was this move a strategic play to take out stops for traders who have been long for the last 2 or 3 months?
The weekly chart of the Euro Currency Futures (6E) contract (see chart below) shows that once the bears broke through the bear flag technical formation (outlined in red) the bears were in a free fall. It seems at least to this point they (bears) haven’t pulled any ripcord yet. The question for commodity traders now is will we see the bears make a move at the next cycle low of 1.2456, or is that to obvious?


The weekly chart of the Japanese Yen Futures (6J) contract (see chart above) shows an incredible move to the upside. The move up today at one point was over 600 ticks, so where do we go from here? Are there other areas of technical support and technical resistance that might be seen when utilizing technical analysis in other time frames? For complete detailed technical analysis in the currency futures market, join me daily in our live trading room. A trading room created by professional traders for traders.
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Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. I make no promises or guarantees implied or otherwise that utilizing technical analysis in the currency futures market will result in profits or limited losses. There is significant risk of financial loss in trading futures; therefore you should carefully consider whether trading futures is right for you in light of your financial condition.









