Currency Futures Trading Recap 10/10/11
Posted by: Richard Estrada // Category: Currency Futures TradingWhat an amazing day in the currency futures market. Futures traders who were long today in either the British Pound, Canadian Dollar and or Euro Currency futures faired really, really well today. The Japanese Yen on the other hand was up only about 20 ticks, but did break out of a technical formation. The question for traders currency futures trading tonight is simple; do we see a pullback, or do we see futures traders continue to try and push the currency futures up. Let take a closer look at the currency futures market and see what we can deduce when applying technical analysis.
The weekly chart of the British Pound Futures (see chart below) shows that futures traders were finally able to push the British Pound (6BZ1) above the 4-week moving average (red – 1.5558), which has been a significant area of technical resistance for the last few months. Also notice the isolated pivot bar, which I consider technically bullish. A few Long-term Indicators have also turned bullish, which may mean the British Pound has turned a corner.

- BP weekly chart for CFT on Monday October 10, 2011

BP daily chart for CFT on Monday October 10, 2011
The daily chart of the December 2011 British Pound Futures contract (see chart above) shows a huge three-day rally, but notice that today’s rally only added 40 ticks to the overall 500 tick bounce . Also notice that the British Pound looks poised to test a significant area of technical resistance (between 1.5706 & 1.5718). A failure to push through this area and we might see the market test the 5-day moving average (red – 1.5492).
The weekly chart of the Canadian Dollar Futures (see chart below) shows that futures traders were able to pierce the 4-week moving average (red – .9641) and might be in position for a good longer-term run. Long-term Indicators are still bearish, but are turning.

- CD weekly chart for CFT on Monday October 10, 2011

CD daily chart on Monday October 10, 2011
The daily chart of the December 2011 Canadian Dollar Futures contract (see chart above) shows an explosive move up. We not only have the market pushing above longer-term technical resistance areas, but we also see that longer-term Indicators are signaling a change from bearish to bullish. The 4-week moving average (red – .9641) will be considered a pivotal area of technical support as will the 5-day moving average (.9579). A potential upside target in the Canadian Dollar could be the area around .9834.
The weekly chart of the Euro Currency Futures (see chart below) shows a huge run up as futures traders get long the Euro Currency Futures. The question now is can the bulls hold onto the momentum, or was today’s rally a result of light volume today? Long-term Indicators are still bearish, but some Indicators are showing signs of turning.

- EC weekly chart on Monday October 10, 2011

EC daily chart on Monday October 10, 2011
The daily chart of the December 2011 Euro Currency Futures contract (see chart above) shows the strength of today’s rally. Also notice futures traders utilized the area around the 5-day moving average (red 1.3408) as a launching pad to the upside today. The question now is simple; can the bulls push through the area around 1.3684, or is this where the bears are going to make a stand?
The weekly chart of the Japanese Yen Futures (see chart below) unfortunately shows more of the same. The Japanese Yen has again pierced the top of a bull-flag formation (outlined in blue), but has yet to have any major follow through. The 13-week moving average (blue – 1.2979) continues to act as a pivotal are of technical support.

- JY weekly chart on Monday October 10, 2011

JY daily chart on Monday October 10, 2011
The daily chart of the December 2011 Japanese Yen Futures contract (see chart above) shows that futures traders were able to once push the market above a bull-flag technical formation (outlined in blue), but ran at a gas at some point today. Will this failure of the bulls to make a real push be an opportunity for bears to get aggressive?
A final thought about currency futures trading tonight. Are these big moves up a real sentimental change in the currency futures market, or was today’s rallies the result of light volume? These moves up might actually be the beginning of bull runs that take us into the end of the year, though futures traders will need to see technical confirmations (such as a low holding on retest). Remember, just because a market has maybe changed long-term direction, does not mean that you still can’t trade both side of the market. If you don’t have the time to do the detailed analysis, planning and monitoring of the currency futures market, than don’t hesitate to sign up for my free daily, strategic and timely analysis. Sign up today and get your first report tonight.
Yes, I would like up for free daily Currency Futures Trading Reports.
Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. I make no promises or guarantees implied or otherwise that utilizing technical analysis in the futures market will result in profits or limited losses. There is significant risk of financial loss in trading futures; therefore you should carefully consider whether such an investment is right for you in light of your financial position.












































