Currency Futures Trading: Currency Traders Weekly Recap 4/3/10
Posted by: Richard Estrada // Category: Currency Futures Trading
What an explosive week for currency traders trading in the currency futures market. We saw the British Pound and Euro Currency bounce back from pivotal areas of technical support, while the Canadian Dollar broke through the top of a bull flag technical formation and tested the top of a pivotal area of technical resistance. And what about the Japanese Yen, well can you say TIMBERRRRR! The question for currency traders going into the first full week of the new month is a simple one. Is what currency traders saw last week a prelude to what is coming this week, or was this week’s action more about the market being thinner then normal? Well let’s take two different looks at each market and see what technical analysis is saying about the currency futures market.
Let’s first take a look at the June 2010 British Pound Futures market (see charts below). The daily chart of the British Pound (top one of the two charts below) shows a strongbounce after the BP broke through the bottom of a bear flag technical formation (outlined in green). You will also notice that the British Pound was also able to push back above both the 5 (red – 1.5136) and 25 (blue – 1.5066) day moving averages, which were pivotal areas of short-term technical resistance. The weekly chart of the British Pound (bottom chart of the two charts below) illustrates another bear flag technical formation (outlined in green), which in my technical opinion is still technically intact. Therefore the top this bear flag formation on the weekly chart will be a pivotal area of technical resistance, while the low 25-day moving average and 4-week moving average will be pivotal areas of technical support.

The Canadian Dollar Futures market (see chart below) broke out of a bull flag technical formation (outlined in blue) on the daily chart (top chart of the two charts below, but ran into technical resistance at the last cycle high of .9938. The question for currency traders this week is was this breakout a true breakout, or false breakout like we saw in the British Pound? The weekly chart of the Canadian Dollar (bottom chart of the two charts below) shows us that before breaking out of a bull flag formation on the daily chart the bears were actually pushing the Canadian Dollar below the 4-week moving average (red – .9819), which had been a pivotal area of technical support. The question that I ask is was the bears ability to push the Canadian Dollar below this area of technical support an indication that the bulls might be losing some technical upside momentum?

The Euro Currency Futures market (see charts below) bounced back after breaking through the bottom of a bear flag technical formation (outlined in green) on the daily chart (top chart of the two charts below). You will also notice that the bears defended and countered in the vicinity of the 25-day moving average (blue – 1.3570). The weekly chart of the Euro Currency (bottom chart of the two charts below) shows that the Euro Currency is trading within a larger bear flag formation (outlined in green), which might turn out to be a good gauge of technical direction depending on if the Euro Currency can get above a certain technical area.

The Japanese Yen Futures market (see chart below) sunk like a battleship after being hit by a torpedo. The daily chart (top chart of the two charts below) clearly shows that the bears not only broke through the bottom a bear flag formation (outlined in green), but the bears were also able to drive this market through a pivotal area of technical support (1.0693). And if you look at the weekly chart (bottom chart of the two below) you will notice that the Japanese Yen has finally broken below the 52-week moving average (green – 1.0782), which might turn out to be the biggest technical clue in the Japanese Yen Futures market. If you would like live daily or nightly technical recaps of the currency futures market, simply sign up for my Nightly Technical Recaps, Updates and Outlooks for the Currency Futures Market.
If you would like a private presentation on my strategic futures perspective, simply sign up for a Private Presentation and Discover the Power of Strategic Futures Analysis.
Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. I make no promises or guarantees implied or otherwise that utilizing short-term trading strategies will result in profits or limited losses. There is significant risk of financial loss in trading futures; therefore you should carefully consider whether trading futures is right for you in light of your financial condition


































