Currency Futures Trading: Weekly Recap for Traders 10/1/11
Posted by: Richard Estrada // Category: Currency Futures, Currency Futures Trading
What a week for futures traders currency futures trading. We saw some currency futures continue to consolidate within technical formations, while others finally broke out of technical formations. We saw some currency futures like the Canadian Dollar drop into the traders abyss, while other markets like the Japanese Yen fail to break through an all time high. The question for currency traders now is simple, was there any technical clues that may give us an indication of direction in the coming week? Let’s take a closer look at the currency futures market and see what we can discover when applying technical analysis to the most aggressive markets in the world.
The weekly chart of the British Pound Futures (see chart below) shows that currency traders continued to vacillate between the 4-week moving average (red 1.5664) and the area around the last cycle low (1.5335) this week. Long-term Indicators are still bearish, though some Indicators are starting to signal potentially oversold market conditions.

The daily chart of the December 2011 British Pound Futures contract (see chart above) shows that the British Pound is trading within an Ascending Triangle (outlined in red) and finding technical support at and around the 5-day moving average (red – 1.5586) for the last four trading days. Also notice that there is Divergence within the Stochastic Indicator. Can the bulls hold the market above the 5-day moving average and push the market above the Ascending Triangle this coming week? Or will we see the bears make a play for the bottom of the Triangle and try push the market back down?
The weekly chart of the Canadian Dollar Futures (see chart below) looks like a fishing pole with the line submerged deep in the water. Futures traders appeared to have utilized the 4-week moving average as a launching pad to the downside and right now the target seems to be the last cycle low between .9361 and .9213 (light red rectangle). Once again long-term Indicators are bearish, but some Indicators are signaling potential oversold market conditions.

The daily chart of the December 2011 Canadian Dollar Futures contract (see chart above) shows that currency traders who were long early this week were able to pierce the 5-day moving average (.9670) for a quick second, but could not hold that line. The 5-day moving average becomes a potential pullback target, but still remains a significant area of technical resistance.
The weekly chart of the Euro Currency Futures (see chart below) shows that the 4-week moving average (red – 1.3578) is a significant area of technical resistance and an average the bulls have not been able to really get for almost the last two months. Technically there is nothing holding this market up, or areas of technical support until the lows around 1.2870. Long-term Indicators are still bearish, while just starting to possibly signal oversold conditions.

The daily chart of the December 2011 Euro Currency Futures contract (see chart above) shows a market trading within a downward channel (outlined in blue) and potentially poised to test the significant technical low of 1.3357. If currency traders can push the Euro Currency below this low, than how far and how fast the Euro Currency drops is anyone’s guess. There is still Stochastic Divergence, but the failure of the Euro Currency to hold above the 5-day moving average (red – 1.3528) makes that less technically significant, in my opinion.
The weekly chart of the Japanese Yen Futures (see chart below) shows that currency traders are still vacillating between the 4-week moving average (red – 1.2993) and the all time high (1.3173). Though in my technical opinion the close of Friday may give us some technical indication that the bulls are losing some technical momentum, being that the Japanese Yen closed below the 4-week moving average. The long-term Indicators are considerably bullish, though are definitely signaling overbought conditions in the Japanese Yen.

The daily chart of the December 2011 Japanese Yen Futures contract (see chart above) shows that the market broke through the bottom of a Descending Triangle (outlined in red) and also below the 25-day moving average (blue – 1.3022). This technical information coupled with the close below the 4-week moving average and we might see the market drop quick and hard for those brave and bold enough to trade the Japanese Yen.
A final thought about currency futures trading. These markets are the most aggressive markets in the world and can be very exciting to trade. Remember, these markets are very fluid and in my opinion currency traders who are the most agile have the best chance to succeed. Think like a sniper, picking your location to engage the enemy, then picking your target (long or short), and deciding at the final moment whether your best course of action is to execute or to wait for a better location or target. If you don’t have the time to do the detailed analysis, don’t hesitate to sign up for my free daily, strategic and timely analysis. Sign up today and get your first report tonight.
Yes, I would like up for free daily Currency Futures Trading Reports.
Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. I make no promises or guarantees implied or otherwise that utilizing technical analysis in the futures market will result in profits or limited losses. There is significant risk of financial loss in trading futures; therefore you should carefully consider whether such an investment is right for you in light of your financial position.
























