It’s time to lock n load because the currency futures market is once again open and commodity traders are back at it. The question for commodity traders trading in the currency futures this week is what to expect, or what to look for while currency futures trading? The first thing to remember is trading currency futures isn’t for the meek or garden-variety-investor and there are never absolutes when trading currency futures. It’s about assessing current technical structures of specific currencies and creating trading ideas based on possible market moves. So, let’s take a look at the currency futures market.
The daily chart of the June 2010 British Pound Futures contract (see chart below) shows that the British Pound (6B) is currently trading within a bear flag technical formation (outlined in red). This chart also shows that the British Pound is currently holding above the 5-day moving average (red – 1.5377), which is the only technical buffer between the bottom of the bear flag formation. I would also like to point that the last cycle high (1.5520) is in very close proximity to the 75-day moving average (green – 1.5484) and the top of the bear flag formation. So what does all this mean? If the bulls area able to push the British Pound back above 1.5520, then it is possible that this kind of move trigger’s more technical buying, but a failure to get above this area and look for the bears to counter.

The daily chart of the June 2010 Canadian Dollar Futures contract (see chart below) shows the market opened Sunday holding above the 5-day moving average (red – 1.0005), which has been a pivotal area of technical support for sometime. Though we did see a rather extreme two-day sell-off below the 5-day moving average, as well as a two-day reversal back above the same average. It’s my technical opinion that when we see an increase in volatility, we might be witnessing the top of a market, or a base from which the market is getting ready to continue it’s prevailing trend.
The daily chart of the June 2010 Euro Currency Futures contract (see chart below) shows that the Euro Currency (6E) installed a new pivotal technical low (1.3202) last Friday, before exploding nearly 200 ticks back to the 5-day moving average (1.3373). The question for commodity traders coming into this week is will the bulls be able to push the Euro Currency back above the 5-day moving average, which we have not seen for the last two weeks? Or will the bears utilize this area in the market to regroup and counter Friday’s rally?


The daily chart of the June 2010 Japanese Yen Futures contract (see chart above) shows that the bears were able to break through the bottom of a bear flag technical formation (outlined in red) last week and on Friday really push the Japanese Yen (6J) down. The question for commodity traders trading the Japanese Yen is will the bulls defend an area above the significant low (1.0558), or arel the bears looking to test this area tonight or Monday? For complete detailed technical analysis for currency futures trading, join me daily in our live trading room. A trading room created by professional traders for traders.
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Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. I make no promises or guarantees implied or otherwise that utilizing technical analysis in the currency futures market will result in profits or limited losses. There is significant risk of financial loss in trading futures; therefore you should carefully consider whether trading futures is right for you in light of your financial condition.
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